Estimated 14 per cent of world population exposed to conflict, data shows (2024)

Published:6February2024

Estimated 14 per cent of world population exposed to conflict, data shows (1)

An estimated 14 per cent of people in the world were within five kilometres of violent conflict in 2023, according to new data.

Experts from the University of Southampton and ACLED, the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project, have assessed how conflicts affect civilians globally and will be speaking about the findings on Wednesday 7 February.

A new Conflict Exposure calculatorhas been developed by the researchers to measure the number of people living close to recorded incidents of violent conflict or demonstration.

Professor Andrew Tatem from WorldPop, based at the University of Southampton, will discuss the tool for a webinar with ACLED’s and chief executive officer Clionadh Raleigh.

They will be joined by representatives of the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), and Save the Children.

Prof Tatem said: “Measuring populations and conflicts aggregated at large area scales can often lead to vital patterns being missed.

“Bringing together our high-resolution datasets has enabled us to uncover valuable new insights about conflict exposure and how it changes over time.”

The Conflict Exposure calculator integrates ACLED’s dataset on political violence and WorldPop’s small-area population size estimates.

People are harmed by this exposure in different ways – they may be directly injured or may find themselves in active conflict, or they and their group may also be targeted or they may be affected by the destruction of their village, neighbourhood, or town.

ACLED’s founder and chief executive officer Clionadh Raleigh said the data helps to see how conflict affects civilians to a unique level of detail.

She added: “Different armed groups, conflict incidents, timescales, and locations can be immediately assessed. We hope it will prove an invaluable tool, not just for policymakers seeking to reduce the impact of war, but also for humanitarians trying to reduce the suffering it causes.”

Estimated 14 per cent of world population exposed to conflict, data shows (2024)

FAQs

Estimated 14 per cent of world population exposed to conflict, data shows? ›

Estimated 14 per cent of world population exposed to conflict, data shows. An estimated 14 per cent of people in the world were within five kilometres of violent conflict in 2023, according to new data.

What is the conflict index? ›

The ACLED Conflict Index assesses every country and territory in the world according to four indicators – deadliness, danger to civilians, geographic diffusion, and armed group fragmentation – based on analysis of political violence event data collected for the past year.

How many conflicts are there in the world today? ›

Today, it monitors more than 110 armed conflicts and provides information about parties, the latest developments, and applicable international law. Some of these conflicts make the headlines, others do not. Some of them started recently, while others have lasted for more than 50 years.

What country has the most conflict? ›

Myanmar

Is global violence increasing? ›

Overall, global conflict rates increased 12% in 2023, with more than 15,000 additional attacks, bombings and assaults compared to 2022. This adds to the 32% increase in 2022 from 2021, when the Ukraine war assumed close to 28% of the global conflict share. One in six of us is living in an area of active conflict.

How is conflict measured? ›

The key measure is the number of deaths due to conflict. This is usually done for each year the conflict went on, or across the duration of a conflict.

What is conflict indicators? ›

Indicators of the Conflict - disagreements , surprises , strong statements desire , failures , success , progress , evaluation of them ,bad news , etc including the body language . Causes of the conflict -Poor Communication , Leadership Problem, Dissatisfaction ,etc. 5 Ps of the Conflict Management -

What is the best country to avoid war? ›

WORLD'S MOST PEACEFUL NATIONS: FULL RANKING
RankCountry
1🇮🇸Iceland
2🇮🇪Ireland
3🇦🇹Austria
4🇳🇿New Zealand
159 more rows
Jun 12, 2024

What is the most hostile country? ›

The 12 Most Dangerous Countries in the World
  1. Afghanistan. With a 2023 score of 3.448 (slightly safer than 2022's 3.554), Afghanistan remains the most dangerous country in the world for the sixth year in a row. ...
  2. Yemen. ...
  3. Syria. ...
  4. South Sudan. ...
  5. DR Congo. ...
  6. Russia. ...
  7. Ukraine.

What was the biggest conflict in world history? ›

World War II was the deadliest conflict in human history marked by 50 to 85 million fatalities, most of whom were civilians in the Soviet Union and China.

What was the most peaceful time in history? ›

Probably the most publicized peaceful era is the Pax Romana. Latin for "Roman peace," this period of roughly 200 years was made famous by the 18th-century historian Edward Gibbon in his landmark book "The History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire" [source: Encyclopædia Britannica Online].

Which country is currently at war now? ›

Download Table Data
CountryEstimated Casualties 2023Type
Iraq1,274Terrorist Insurgency/Political Unrest
South Sudan1,238Ethnic Violence
India1,130Border Disputes
Afghanistan1,007Civil War/Terrorist Insurgency
35 more rows

Is the world more peaceful now than ever? ›

Evidence has emerged over the last few years to suggest that the world is more peaceful than ever. In several key respects, this is true. However, a few crucial elements of global data on violence and conflict temper such a straightforward conclusion.

What does conflict mean in a book report? ›

Tension might be the mother of fiction, but problems are the mother of tension. In fiction, those problems are called conflict. More precisely, conflict means thwarted, endangered, or opposing desire. It's basically when a character wants something but something else gets in the way.

What is the most violent country index? ›

It is joined at the top of the index by New Zealand, Ireland, Denmark and Austria. For the fifth consecutive year, Afghanistan is the least peaceful country, followed by Yemen, Syria, Russia and South Sudan.

What does conflict mean in a plot chart? ›

The conflict is the primary problem that drives the plot of the story, often a main goal for the protagonist to achieve or overcome. Rising Action. The rising action of the story is all of the events that lead to the eventual climax, including character development and events that create suspense.

What is the conflict resolution style index? ›

It is based on the Thomas–Kilmann Conflict Mode Instrument, which was developed in the 1970s to measure five different conflict resolution styles. The five conflict resolution styles measured by the CRSI are: Competing, Avoiding, Accommodating, Compromising, and Collaborating.

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